Former President Donald Trump has surged to a historic lead in the Quinnipiac Poll, outpacing Vice President Kamala Harris in 13 national surveys this July, raising questions about her viability as a candidate.
Former President Donald Trump has achieved his largest lead ever in the Quinnipiac Poll, dominating Vice President Kamala Harris in 13 national polls published in July.
The surveys suggest that Harris might fare no better against Trump than President Joe Biden did. According to the RealClearPolitics polling average, Harris’s favorability rating is one point lower than Biden’s.
On Sunday, Trump claimed that Harris would be an easier opponent to defeat in November than Biden, following Biden’s withdrawal as the Democratic Party’s de facto nominee.
Contradicting these polls is former President Barack Obama’s pollster, Fernand Amandi, whose internal survey published on July 9 showed Harris leading Trump by one point.
Obama, reportedly influential in Biden’s decision to step aside, did not publicly question Biden’s candidacy until a Washington Post leak on Wednesday. This leak followed reports that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, House Democratic Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer had privately urged Biden to step down.
The timing of the leak suggests a coordinated effort by Democratic leaders to persuade Biden to exit the race amidst ongoing party turmoil and media scrutiny regarding Biden’s political viability. According to Playbook, "The idea here is that Obama, Pelosi, Jeffries, and Schumer do not want to be seen as back-room party bosses engineering a Harris coronation. And if there’s a real challenge, they want to be able to unite the party again when there’s a nominee."
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