In a dramatic twist following Trump's felony conviction, the latest poll delivers a startling blow to Biden's presidential prospects, revealing a surprising surge in support for the former president. As the nation grapples with the fallout, the political landscape shifts in unexpected ways, setting the stage for a fiercely contested race unlike any other.
Following the long-awaited release of the first comprehensive poll post-conviction, the results deliver a shocking blow to Biden. In a surprising turn, Biden's lead nationally has dwindled by two points compared to the previous poll. The highly publicized felony conviction of former President Donald Trump ignited debates across the nation, but how did it impact the presidential race? The answer emerges from the June I&I/TIPP Poll: it seems to have inadvertently boosted Trump.
Conducted from Wednesday, May 29, to Friday, May 31, the poll coincided with the verdict against Trump in New York state court, announced on Thursday, May 30. A significant portion of the 1,675 registered voters surveyed were aware of Trump's conviction on 34 felony counts.
Did this guilty verdict sway opinions, weakening Trump's support?
Quite the contrary.
In the head-to-head matchup between President Joe Biden and Trump, the race has now become a statistical deadlock, with both candidates tied at 41%. This marks an improvement for Trump from the previous month's poll, where he trailed Biden by 2 percentage points (42% for Biden, 40% for Trump). The June poll maintains a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points.
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