In a groundbreaking shift, more U.S. adults now identify with the Republican Party than the Democratic Party for the first time, according to Pew Research. This pivotal change could have significant implications for the upcoming elections and the future political landscape of the country.
In a historic shift, more U.S. adults now identify with the Republican Party than the Democratic Party, according to an annual survey by Pew Research.
This marks the first time the survey has found more adults identifying as Republican or leaning Republican.
The latest Pew survey revealed that 47% of adults identify with the GOP, while 46% identify with the Democrats, and 7% "refused to lean."
In last year's National Public Opinion Reference Survey (NPORS), Democrats held a 2-point advantage.
Nate Cohn, The New York Times' chief political analyst, highlighted significant findings among young adults.
"By subgroup, the headline is age: NPORS found the GOP ahead on leaned party ID among 18 to 29 year olds, even though the sample was Biden+20 on 2020 recall vote. The sample size is fairly large (n=496) and it hasn't shown anything like this in previous cycles," Cohn posted on X.
Cohn also noted results among racial and ethnic groups.
"There were fewer shifts by race, though the Dem share of major party leaning nonwhite voters kept edging downward, from 68 to 65%. They did show a GOP edge among registered nonvoters," he posted on X.
The Pew poll results are noteworthy because some other national polls, such as CNN/SSRS, KFF, and Ipsos, use NPORS to weight their surveys.
The 2024 NPORS also found that 69% of U.S. adults identify religiously (41% Protestant, 20% Catholic, 8% other faith) and 30% do not (28% religiously unaffiliated, 2% no answer).
Pew Research's NPORS was conducted from February 1 to June 10 among 5,626 adults (2,535 respondents online, 2,764 respondents via paper, 327 respondents over the phone).
.png)
Comments